Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.406463 0.478270 0.557159 0.650003 0.756012 0.872998 1.011586
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.295362 0.389448 0.503000 0.649018 0.830561 1.047516 1.324938
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.226548 0.330875 0.467700 0.657619 0.911296 1.234989 1.675189
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.176485 0.283163 0.434020 0.658093 0.976612 1.406367 2.021723
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.134300 0.235857 0.390103 0.634101 1.001200 1.521905 2.302232
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.113446 0.215588 0.380574 0.655854 1.090060 1.731761 2.729564
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.096093 0.196831 0.369230 0.671409 1.169015 1.932068 3.158183
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.086378 0.189099 0.374040 0.712316 1.290220 2.204468 3.714456
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.072077 0.169494 0.354611 0.708703 1.337129 2.363627 4.107081
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.059670 0.150705 0.333156 0.697680 1.368765 2.498829 4.469501
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.050018 0.135402 0.315502 0.690481 1.404920 2.642442 4.853551
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.043931 0.126651 0.309327 0.703846 1.478494 2.853679 5.362840
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.038023 0.117135 0.300410 0.711430 1.543659 3.058251 5.880672
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.032637 0.107583 0.289798 0.714096 1.599664 3.251035 6.392120
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.028589 0.100538 0.283632 0.725219 1.673098 3.480601 6.983630
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.024599 0.092529 0.273707 0.726571 1.726547 3.676502 7.526644
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.019971 0.081142 0.253199 0.700799 1.720594 3.758640 7.865372
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.018148 0.078175 0.253878 0.724706 1.822390 4.055751 8.622927
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.016274 0.074466 0.251877 0.741758 1.910567 4.331576 9.355619
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.015523 0.074573 0.260543 0.786393 2.064015 4.747676 10.380703
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.013354 0.068641 0.250715 0.782476 2.106610 4.940812 10.981535
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.011291 0.062340 0.238495 0.770470 2.128958 5.093003 11.509252
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.009639 0.057085 0.228397 0.762628 2.159999 5.264694 12.084281